Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 7.329764 8.074614 8.869912 9.783530 10.805641 11.915653 13.214739
2025-11-02 6.007937 7.011869 8.156164 9.562171 11.250273 13.220558 15.707002
2025-11-09 5.073682 6.210897 7.579553 9.359656 11.630501 14.452828 18.260944
2025-11-16 4.404149 5.613950 7.139141 9.222851 12.026024 15.709939 20.989846
2025-11-23 3.912934 5.165883 6.810699 9.157448 12.467660 17.042761 23.972598
2025-11-30 3.608198 4.917600 6.701124 9.349500 13.253599 18.911622 27.945667
2025-12-07 3.277010 4.590510 6.437729 9.278210 13.631715 20.213643 31.235106
2025-12-14 2.961485 4.249624 6.112911 9.068386 13.758817 21.126450 34.011897
2025-12-21 2.735691 4.015327 5.916062 9.021000 14.115636 22.418681 37.568623
2025-12-28 2.605611 3.910435 5.900048 9.246804 14.924853 24.530185 42.831744
2026-01-04 2.479044 3.797774 5.858065 9.419841 15.655701 26.584305 48.289150
2026-01-11 2.339448 3.651332 5.746732 9.461045 16.155094 28.278194 53.310174
2026-01-18 2.183094 3.468394 5.565199 9.372644 16.429778 29.626371 57.938591
2026-01-25 2.035060 3.287724 5.372477 9.245600 16.619408 30.839485 62.502593
2026-02-01 1.897541 3.114080 5.177116 9.093788 16.743229 31.937045 67.006598
2026-02-08 1.780058 2.965820 5.013506 8.983650 16.933196 33.188310 72.068933
2026-02-15 1.682297 2.844604 4.887733 8.931745 17.231069 34.698609 77.999931
2026-02-22 1.627809 2.796090 4.889041 9.124621 18.051399 37.438910 87.422425
2026-03-01 1.542619 2.685493 4.766367 9.058494 18.314543 38.973251 94.097111
2026-03-08 1.447111 2.549260 4.585021 8.855941 18.257462 39.762621 98.963035
2026-03-15 1.378711 2.459004 4.484615 8.810667 18.542372 41.390902 106.423577
2026-03-22 1.346077 2.434259 4.509346 9.030944 19.455447 44.668622 119.236510
2026-03-29 1.309422 2.399100 4.510432 9.199636 20.267243 47.811726 132.362115